Stochastic volatility is the unpredictable nature of asset price volatility over time. It's a flexible alternative to the Black Scholes' constant volatility assumption.

Background The National Heart Failure Audit gathers data on patients coded at discharge (or death) as having heart failure as ...

Prices climbed 2.7% in November compared to a year earlier. Inflation dropped in November, ending a monthslong acceleration of price increases and offering relief for households strained by cost hikes ...

MPC of the Sarb considers the results of the inflation expectations survey when it decides to change the repo rate. Inflation expectations have fallen to a 25-year low after the inflation target was ...

Abstract: A classic problem in statistics is the estimation of the expectation of random variables from samples. This gives rise to the tightly connected problems of deriving concentration ...

Markets largely price in a December Fed cut as inflation cools while equities and risk assets hold near recent highs. Debate now centers on the 2026 median fed funds rate and a divided FOMC, with ...

The Eurozone Sentix Index improves slightly in December, while the ECB’s Isabel Schnabel strengthens growth expectations. The unexpected rebound in Germany’s Industrial Production in October supports ...

The US economy added more jobs than expected in the first batch of economic data since the government shutdown, but the unemployment rate ticked up – boosting the odds of an interest-rate cut next ...

This paper analyzes the impact of fiscal policy on inflation expectations across a large sample of advanced economies (AEs) and emerging market economies (EMs). We identify episodes of significant ...

Japanese IC substrate giant Ibiden announced an upward revision of its fiscal year 2025 financial forecast, running April 2025 to March 2026, with revenue, operating profit, and net profit all ...

In 2022, only 44% of surveyed high school students said they expected to earn a bachelor’s degree—down sharply from the 72% with that expectation in 2002. High school students’ expectations for ...

Businesses must lead transformation, not just react to evolving consumer expectations and demands. Proactive leadership means anticipating future needs, innovating solutions, and leveraging technology ...