The Spiritual South Side is the most loyally Democratic political neighborhood in Chicago. President Biden got 92 percent of the vote here against former President Donald Trump; in fact, no ward ...

Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their historical accuracy and transparency. Since 2008, we ...

Let’s get this out of the way up front: There was a wide gap between the perception of how well polls and data-driven forecasts did in 2022 and the reality of h… ...

2024 Republican Primary How Donald Trump’s Unusual Presidential Comeback Could Go History presents three possible paths.

Twitter How Americans Really Feel About Elon Musk Hint: His unscientific polls don’t tell us much.

When the 2022 World Cup made its debut on Sunday, it kicked off one of the most significant in-game uses of technology in sports history. All tournament long, m… ...

When the new Congress comes into session in January, there will be more Black Republicans serving together on Capitol Hill than at any point since 1877. The number? Five. 1 For years, Republicans ...

2022 Election Who Are The People Who Don't Respond To Polls? Our ongoing poll with Ipsos offers some clues.

The Supreme Court’s June 2022 ruling overturning the national constitutional right to abortion has reshaped politics. Has it reshaped yours? The conventional wisdom is that that’s in part ...

If it were up to me — and I grew up in East Lansing, Michigan, where you could literally hear the roar of the crowd from Spartan Stadium in my backyard on game days — the Big Ten would have ...

True-Blue Progressives Los Angeles’s True-Blue Progressives 5 — our second political neighborhood — can be found mostly (but not exclusively) north of Downtown. That’s where you’ll find ...

It wasn’t long ago that the U.S. economy needed a shot in the arm. Millions of Americans had lost their jobs as the country shut itself down to slow the spread … ...