Iranian drone attacks on UAE pressure US bond market, causing yields to surge. Ethereum above $1800 on May 5 at 99.9% YES.

Market Snapshot In the Bitcoin Price on May 4 market, the probability of Bitcoin being less than $68,000 is priced at 0.1% ...

Qatar condemned Iran's attack on the UAE, indicating stronger Gulf unity. UAE and Qatar diplomatic relations in 2026 at 100% ...

Iran tensions escalate with attacks on UAE and ships. U.S. declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 9% YES.

US deploys F-16s in Project Freedom amid Iran tensions. War declaration on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 9% YES.

European stock futures decline amid US trade tensions and Middle East conflicts. S&P 500 up on May 4 at 0.1% YES.

The “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” market is currently priced at 100% YES. This reflects a confirmed ...

Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting priced at uncertain odds with recent activity suggesting decreased likelihood of imminent ...

Market activity suggests a response to the economic indicators news. The US GDP Growth Q1 2026 market is at 100% YES, ...

Trump administration considers an AI model review order, impacting Anthropic's timeline. Anthropic to provide Mythos to the ...

US military escorts a Maersk ship through the Strait of Hormuz, signaling improved safety. Blockade lifted by May 31, 2026 at ...

In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, YES is priced at 27%, down from 28% 24 hours ago and significantly from ...